Aurizon Holdings

Aurizon Holdings FY20 earnings beat expectations with EBIT of $910m, this was within the mid point of FY20 guidance of $880-930m.

FY21 EBIT guidance was 6% lower than consensus. Forward yield remains attractive at 5.%. Little in the way of EPS growth and a 100% dividend payout ratio provides a cap to the upside.

AZJ has initiated a new $300m on-market buyback which will help underpin the stock price. This is a good candidate for an at-the-money buy-write to drive portfolio cash flow.

Aurizon 1H20 Earnings

Aurizon Holdings reported 1H20 earnings which were mostly in-line with market forecasts.

1H20 EBIT of $456 million with underlying EPS of $0.136cps. The company continues to payout 100% of earnings in dividends.

Full-year 2020 EBIT guidance remains unchanged at $880m – $930m and the share buy-back program has increased to $400m in FY20.

ALGO Buy Signal For AZJ

Our ALGO engine triggered a buy signal for Aurizon Holdings on Tuesday at $4.24.

This “higher low” chart pattern is referenced to the low of $4.10 posted on June 13th.

AZJ’s FY2018 results, which were released last week, showed a modest 1% decrease in revenue from last year, but the underlying EBIT of $940 million was up 6% from 2017.

With a total dividend of 27 cents, the stock has an effective yield of 6% at current prices.

We expect the initial price target of $4.60 to be reached over the medium term.

AZJ