ASX – August Volumes

ASX is under Algo Engine buy conditions.

August cash equity volumes and average daily futures contract volumes were well down on the same time last year, -13% and -19% respectively.

FY21 earnings are likely to be flat at best and with the stock on a forward yield of 2.8%, we see it as “fully valued”. Owning the stock and selling an at the money covered call option is generating 8% cash flow.

We see value in buying ASX on any market weakness.

ASX – Trading Volumes

ASX is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is a current holding in our ASX 100 model portfolio.

July trading volumes show cash market: 32.5m, (lower than the 12-month average of 38.4m) and total value traded in July rose to $140.5bn, (July 2019’s $126.8bn).

Derivatives total of 8.6m contracts, down 22% on a year ago and much lower than the past 12-month average.

Volumes are expected to remain below the elevated levels of the past few months.

ASX is a quality business and we look to add to the position at lower price levels.

ASX – Accumulate

ASX is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is a current holding in our ASX 100 model portfolio.

Accumulate within the $64 – $68 price range.

NOTE: It was reported on mainstream media that NYSE volume is up over 50% in March, (based on the same time last year).

It seems reasonable to assume that the ASX will be benefiting from a similar pick up in order flows, across both equities and derivatives.

 

 

ASX – Buy “High Conviction”.

ASX is under Algo Engine buy conditions.

Higher levels of equities and futures trading, along with growing demand for its data services, have lifted ASX Limited’s earnings and revenue over the half year. Net profit 2H19 to December was up 1.8% to $250mn on revenue of $454mn, which was up 7%, EBIT rose 6% to $315.

We expect growth to remain in the 1  – 4% range and we see the stock as a “high conviction” buy on the dip during the current market sell-off.

 

ASX – Algo Buy Signal

ASX is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is a current holding in our ASX 100 model portfolio.

We see upside in ASX to $86.00, at which time investors should consider selling out-of-the-money call options to enhance the income return.

ASX goes ex-div $1.14 on 7 March.

For more information on the derivative strategy, please call our office on 1300 614 002.

 

ASX – Earnings Upgrade

ASX is among the best performing stocks within our ASX 100 model portfolio. The stock remains under current buy conditions and the earnings have been slightly upgraded, following the release of the March quarter trading data.

The upgrades were driven by stronger than expected ASX 24 derivatives activity. Volumes increased 11% on the same time last year, with a record month in March 2019.

Cash equities turnover was up 9% year-over-year.

At 26x earnings and 3.2% yield, the stock looks expensive but it does offer a relatively safe harbour.

 

 

ASX Ltd Has Reached The Buy Target

Last week we suggested a buy level for ASX Ltd near $58.00.

With yesterday’s low intraday print at $57.80, that downside buy target has been reached.

Also, with the share price sliding over 15% lower during the last month, internal momentum indicators are now oversold and a reversion higher looks likely.

At $58.00, the stock is on a forward yield of about 4%. We see the first level of resistance near $62.60 and up to $64.00 over the longer-term.

ASX Limited