IPL reported 1H earnings of $152m, slightly ahead of market expectations.
IPL’s outlook was the most positive it has been in years. Although, global fertiliser prices have started to soften, with seasonal demand peak in April/May. US ammonia prices to are forecast to trade within the US$300/t to US$330/t. A weaker AUD offers a some upside to IPL’s earnings.
FY18 forecast revenue $4b, EBIT $640m, EPS $0.25, DPS $0.15, placing the stock on a forward yield of 3.7%.
Underlying earnings growth now tracking in the 10 – 20% range.