ASX Signals for January 24, 2020
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Downer – Sell Off is Overdone
Downer cut its FY20 profit guidance by $60mn to $300mn, representing an 18% cut.
The profit warning in Engineering & Construction, (ECM and Mining businesses), are likely short-term and we see value in the stock at $6.50
CIMIC Group – Exit Cost From the Middle East
ASX:CIM will take a one-off impact of ~$1.8b in FY19 from the impairment of the entire BICC division. This represents all of CIM’s exposure in relation to BICC, including shareholder loans and financial guarantees.
FY19 underlying NPAT is expected to be $800m, excluding the impact from the BICC writedown. The company will suspend its next dividend payment which saves around $270mn.
CIMIC’s middle east exposure has been a negative overhang for the past 10 years and we see this step as an important de-risking outcome for investors. Going forward, CIMIC will focus on Australia, New Zealand, and Asian business opportunities. We remain bullish on the macro trends supporting the infrastructure sector.
Qantas – Algo Buy Signal
Qantas Airways is under Algo Engine buy conditions and is now a current holding in our ASX 100 model.
The switch from sell to buy conditions means the stock has automatically been added, however, traders may wish to watch the shorter-term indicators for confirmation of the change in trend.
The below graph highlights the key trend signals to watch and we forecast buying support to build near the $6.50 level.
ASX Signals for January 23, 2020
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ASX Signals for January 22, 2020
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NIB Holdings – Earnings Downgrade
NIB Holdings has downgraded FY20 earnings by $30m, owing to claims inflation across the business.
Based on the updated FY20 earnings outlook we now have NHF trading on a forward yield of 3%.
Lendlease – Buy the Dips
Lendlease is under Algo Engine buy conditions.
We remain bullish on the urban redevelopment business model and are further encouraged by the announcement LLC has entered into an agreement with Acciona to sell its engineering business for $180 million.
Buy $17.80
ASX Signals for January 21, 2020
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