IAG – buy the dip

Today’s earnings miss in IAG, along with lower guidance into FY19 has seen a sharp sell-off with price moving back to $7.50.

We see long term value for investors who accumulate the stock within the $7.25 to $7.50 range.

IAG goes ex-div $0.20 on the 6th of September.

 

Woolworths – buy the dip

We’re looking for a retracement in Woolworths’ share price back to $28.50 and recommend accumulating within the value range displayed below.

WOW goes ex-div $0.50 on the 7th of September. Adding a covered call will boost the cash flow to 10 – 12% on an annualised basis.

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Downer EDI – Buy On Weakness

Downer EDI will  report earnings on Thursday and any weakness in the share price ahead of the result, provides a buying opportunity.

We expect Thursday’s result to exceed market consensus, supported by positive industry trends. As displayed in CIMIC’s recent earnings result.

Downer goes ex-dividend $0.12 on the 11th of September.

 

Downer EDI

Unibail-Rodamco – High Conviction Long Trade

Unibail-Rodamco report 2H18 earnings on the 29th of August.  Due to tax  complications holding the ASX listed CDIs, we recommend investors consider building a position in the stock using a synthetic instrument such as a CFD.

This is an event driven opportunity based on the August result showing the early benefits of the cost synergies of the combined Westfield and Unibail businesses.

To establish a Saxo CFD account and take advantage of buying URW ahead of the result, please contact our office on 1300 614 002.

Unibail-Rodamco

 

APA – Takeover Update

The CKI consortium has completed its due diligence and has now entered into a binding Implementation Agreement to acquire 100% of APA’s stapled securities for an all cash offer of $11.00 per share.

The offer is still subject to a number of conditions including approval from the ACCC and the FIRB.

APA goes ex div $0.21 on the 28th December.

 

APA

REA – Algo Update

Our Algo Engine generated a buy signal in REA last week at $80.50.

Since then the stock has rallied almost $5.00, following a solid FY18 earnings result which met consensus forecasts.

Revenues were reported at  $808m, EBITDA $464m and NPAT from core operations $280m.

In FY19,  the market is looking for 15% revenue growth, flowing through to similar underlying earnings growth. This places REA on an FY19 forecast yield of 1.8%.

Despite, risks in soft listings and developer pipeline, we recommend maintaining long exposure to REA and applying a stop-loss below the recent $80.50 low.

REA

 

James Hardie Industries – FY19 outlook

During last week’s earnings update, James Hardie provided an FY19 EBIT outlook in the range of US$300-340m. This was slightly below market consensus, suggesting 20% growth will not be achieved and it could be more in the range of flat to 10%.

With the stock trading on a high PE and an FY18 yield of only 2%, there’s not much room for disappointment.

JHX is a current holding within our ASX50 & 100 model portfolios, we’ll watch  for the next Algo Engine buy signal and revisit the “buy side” case and update our readers.

James Hardie