Last week’s Merger and Acquisition activity was a key driver in the Aussie dollar’s move from .7510 to .7690.
Tuesday’s Westfield deal for AUD 32 billion combined with Zurich’s announcement that it will buy ANZ’s life insurance business for AUD 2.85 gave the local currency a bid tone for the week.
All together, the flow was about $9 billion of AUD/USD that needed to be bought to cover the hedging aspect of the M&A transactions. This was enough to push the AUD/USD to .7690 before offers capped the move.
With this buying support absorbed into the market, the technical picture in the AUD/USD looks to be weakening with the longer-term down trend the path of least resistance.
We see the next area of support in the .7565 area. A break of the December 11th low at .7510 could trigger a quick move back to the .7300 handle.
Some of the ASX stocks that would benefit from a lower AUD include: RHC, NCM, QAN and TWE.
Ramsay Health
Newcrest Mining
QANTAS
Treasury Wine Estates