The Chinese government suggests there’ll be no hard landing. China’s financial system is generally stable and there are no systemic risks. Adding, that the government has enough policy tools to handle any risks.
China’s fiscal revenue and expenditure saw faster growth in the first two months of 2017, driven by an improved economy and higher spending on social welfare, official data showed yesterday.
Fiscal revenue rose 14.9% Y/Y to 3.15 trillion yuan (US$456 billion) in January and February, accelerating from 4.5% in 2016, according to data from the Ministry of Finance.
The ministry attributed the revenue pickup to positive trends in the Chinese economy, citing improvement in industrial activity, company profits, foreign trade and resident consumption.
The government is increasing policies to curb property price inflation within major cities and stem broader capital outflows from the Chinese economy. We continue to see these two issues as risks that may yet be underappreciated by the markets.